Wrong Calculus!

Amarji Special

My opposition to the deal with Iran is not premised on any assumptions about her potential future behavior, but on facts related to her current one, especially her financial, logistical and military support of Bashar Al-Assad even as he perpetrates genocide against the majority Sunni population in Syria. When I say that Iran seeks to project power in the region by exploiting Shia communities there, this, too, is not on assumption, but an observation of a decades-long trend.

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Iran nuclear deal: The mystery solved

Iran nuclear deal: The mystery solved | AEIdeas.

I agree with the conclusions drawn by Mike and Jim here, namely that the Obama Administration is seeing an alliance with Iran and Russia. But, as I argued in my recent article, such an alliance does not augur well for regional stability and peace, because, and as we can see clearly in Syria, it will come at the expense of the aspirations of the majority Arab Sunni population  for empowerment. An Iranian regional hegemony is minority rule writ large, especially from the perspective of Sunni Arabs at this stage who now have Syria, Iraq and Lebanon to draw lessons from.

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The Bad Deal

NOW: The bad deal

In Geneva, the Obama administration “successfully” negotiates the terms of America’s surrender

While many analysts seem to be celebrating the interim agreement just signed in Geneva – under which Iran will suspend portions of its nuclear program in exchange for decreased economic sanctions – a closer examination in the context of regional trends gives little reason for optimism.

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Saving Syria or Saving Face?

There is no idea or notion at this stage that is more fanciful than the belief that the US and Russia are actually cooperating on Syria, other than the belief that the Americans, the Russians, the Iranians, are engaged in secret talks to help “save Syria.” Saving Syria or helping the people of Syria is not something anyone is interested in at this stage, and has probably never been a factor in anyone’s calculations otherwise all would have behaved differently many months ago. If this lot is talking about anything at this stage, it’s about face-saving solutions for each, especially the Obama Administration, as well as finding ways to combat Al-Qaeda, the entity that keeps popping up as a result of their collective fuckups.

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